I wanted to take an early look at trends we are seeing for the average draft position (ADP) compared with how I am projecting the players to perform.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Overvalued:<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n My definition of an overvalued player is someone who is being drafted higher than I expect them to perform.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Antonio Gibson<\/strong>:\u00a0 I have Gibson rated right around #24 in my RB rankings.\u00a0 He is coming off the board on average prior to the likes of Leonard Fournette and James Conner.\u00a0 I would draft both Fournette and Conner over Gibson without hesitation.\u00a0 Gibson has an ADP of 30, which is only 6 positions lower than I have him ranked in my RB rankings.\u00a0 To me that is a steep price without much upside for Gibson.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Chris Carson<\/strong>: It is shocking to see the ADP for Carson. He has an ADP of right around 100. In a 12 team league that is getting drafted in the 9th round. I can not imagine a scenario where that makes sense. I have him ranked around 75 on my RB listings and he is going in the same range as RBs I have ranked around 40. For a mid round pick you would be much better off grabbing a high upside WR in this range than Carson.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Undervalued<\/em>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n My definition of an undervalued player is someone who is being drafted lower than I expect them to perform.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Joe Mixon<\/strong>: I have Joe Mixon ranked right around #5 on my RB list. He has an average draft position of 18, which is mid 2nd round and averages out to the 12th RB to come off the board. I think that is excellent value for the production I expect you to get from Mixon. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Leonard Fournette<\/strong>: I don\u2019t know if the average draft position I am seeing is based on the drafts that took place prior to Brady announcing he was coming back or not. I am seeing an ADP of 31, which is mid 3rd round. I have Fournette ranked as the 10th RB on my board. Depending on how your league is, that means you could get a stud RB in RD1, followed by a stud WR in RD2 and still have a shot at Fournette in the 3rd round. That would be a really good start to your draft if that was to occur. <\/p>\n\n\nRelated Posts<\/h3>