I wanted to take an early look at trends we are seeing for the average draft position (ADP) compared with how I am projecting the players to perform.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Overvalued<\/em>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n My definition of an overvalued player is someone who is being drafted higher than I expect them to perform.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Dawson Knox<\/strong>: Dawson has an ADP of 77, which is way ahead of where I have him projected to perform. I have him projected as around the 13th rated TE, and he is being drafted as a top 10 TE. In overall rankings I have him rated as the 110th player which is almost 50 places (4 rounds) below where he is being drafted. I have trouble seeing him massively outperforming a TE like Hunter Henry who has an ADP of 125. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Mike Gisecki<\/strong>: I fell for Mike Gisecki last season and thought he was going to do well as a safety outlet for his young QB. While he did end up a top 12 TE in 12 team league, he only hauled in 2 TDs through the air and added another on the ground. I have him ranked as the 16th rated TE and roughly the 145th overall. He is being drafted with an ADP of 100, which is roughly 4 rounds earlier than I have him rated. From experience, I would not want to rely on him as my starting TE. It will be a rollercoaster ride of a top 5 week followed by three weeks of 20th ranked production. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Undervalued:<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n My definition of an undervalued player is someone who is being drafted lower than I expect them to perform.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Kyle Pitts<\/strong>: While Pitts did not haul in a bunch of TD\u2019s last year he did have 68 receptions for over 1000 yards. With PPR scoring that meant he got you around 10 points most weeks on receptions and yards. I expect him to see a bump in TDs this season which should bring his value up even more. The only pause I have is his QB situation. Marcus Mariota doesn\u2019t exactly instill confidence in that position. He is being drafted around pick 36 which is very late 3rd round to early 4th. I think he is closer to an early 3rd round pick. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Dalton Schultz<\/strong>: Schultz finished the season as a top 3 TE in most scoring systems but he is being drafted as the 9th TE off the board. He has a lower ADP than Dawson Knox who finished last season at around 10 in most scoring systems. He had 78 receptions, 800 yards and 8 TDs. I see no reason why he can not achieve close to the same numbers again next season. <\/p>\n\n\nRelated Posts<\/h3>