I wanted to take an early look at trends we are seeing for the average draft position (ADP) compared with how I am projecting the players to perform.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Defenses are extremely hard to predict. I am going to lay out discrepancies in where they are being drafted compared to where I have them ranked.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Overvalued:<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n My definition of an overvalued player is someone who is being drafted higher than I expect them to perform.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Tampa Bay Buccaneers<\/strong>: The Bucs are being drafted as the 2nd D\/ST, but I have them ranked as the 10th D\/ST. I might be a little pessimistic about my ranking, but I do not see them finishing as a top three D\/ST. <\/p>\n\n\n\n San Francisco 49ers<\/strong>: The 49ers are averaging the 5th D\/ST drafted. They could produce at that level, but I have them ranked closer to the 10th-12th ranked D\/ST. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Undervalued:<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n My definition of an undervalued player is someone who is being drafted lower than I expect them to perform.<\/p>\n\n\n\n New England Patriots<\/strong>: The Patriots finished the season last year as a top 3 fantasy D\/ST. This season they are being drafted with an ADP of the 10th D\/ST off the board. I am projecting them to be a top 5 D\/ST this season. <\/p>\n\n\n\n Miami Dolphins<\/strong>: I have Miami ranked as the 7-10th ranked D\/ST and they are being drafted as the 15th D\/ST on average. With Hill returning kickoffs I would expect them to outperform this ADP. <\/p>\n\n\nRelated Posts<\/h3>