I wanted to take an early look at trends we are seeing for the average draft position (ADP) compared with how I am projecting the players to perform.
For Kickers I am not going to dive real deep into analysis since the difference between the top Kickers and the 12th kicker in a typical 12 team format is minimal. I am just going to point out kickers that I see a discrepancy in where they are being drafted.
Overvalued:
My definition of an overvalued player is someone who is being drafted higher than I expect them to perform.
Harrison Butker: Harrison Butker is being drafted with an ADP which makes him 3rd K off the board. I think the Chiefs offense will struggle this season and I have him rated closer to the 10th kicker on my ratings.
Nick Folk: Folk is being drafted as the 7th kicker off the board. I have him rated as the 12th/13th rated kicker. So he is going consistently a little higher than I have him rated.
Undervalued:
My definition of an undervalued player is someone who is being drafted lower than I expect them to perform.
Matt Gay: I am projecting Matt Gay to be a top 3 kicker this season and he is being drafted as the 13th Kicker off the board. I think that is a fantastic value.
Evan McPherson: The CIN offense is going to be potent this season and I think McPherson could be a top 5 Kicker. He is being drafted as the 18th Kicker off the board. He is being drafted like he is a backup Kicker and he finished last season ranked 7th.